Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 30

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2025, 7:00 p puma sports philippines inc.m. ET

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays aim to take down Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees this Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The oddsmakers have set the Yankees as -140 favorites on the moneyline, while the underdog Rays are given +119 moneyline odds. New York is also favored on the run line at -1.5. The total runs for the match is currently set at 9.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Yankees-Rays matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 30, 2025, at 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to Watch: MLB Network, Amazon Prime Video, and FDSSUN

	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees	-140	+119	9	-116	-104	-1.5	+145	-173

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Rays 46%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

This season, the Yankees have been favored 91 times and secured victories in 51 of those games, giving them a win rate of 56%. When favored by -140 or more, New York holds a record of 41-26, translating to a 61.2% success rate. Their implied chance of winning this game is 58.3% based on the moneyline.

The Rays have emerged victorious in 22 of their 51 games as odds-on underdogs this year, yielding a 43.1% win rate. Tampa Bay’s record stands at 13-11 when listed with +119 or worse odds. Their implied chance of winning, according to the moneyline set for this matchup, is 45.7%.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have a 2-4 record in their last ten games in which they were favored on the moneyline. In these matchups, both the Yankees and their opponents went over the set run total five times, with all 10 games having defined totals. The Yankees’ performance against the spread in their last ten games is 4-6-0.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.8
Home Runs	19
ERA	5.22
K/9	8.1

Yankees Player Insights

Cody Bellinger has recorded 20 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs, and 32 walks with a batting average of .282. He ranks 23rd in homers and 31st in RBI across Major League Baseball. Recently, Bellinger has achieved a hit in three consecutive games, hitting .222 with a triple, two home runs, three walks, and four RBIs over his last five outings.

Pursuing further stats, Paul Goldschmidt is batting .283 with 23 doubles, one triple, eight home runs, and 30 walks, whereas Anthony Volpe stands at .216 with 22 doubles, three triples, and 15 home runs. Trent Grisham’s stats include a batting average of .246 with nine doubles, one triple, and 17 home runs.

Yankees Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Trent Grisham	0.5 (-230)	1 bet in slang.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+170)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-195)	1. alodia gosiengfiao pc5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+155)
Jasson Dominguez	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	–	0.5 (+200)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+130)
Cody Bellinger	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+155)

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have competed as underdogs in four out of their last ten games, recording just one win in those instances. With respect to the total, the Rays and their opponents hold a 3-7-0 over/under record in their last 10 games. Against the spread, the Rays have one win in their last ten outings.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.7
Home Runs	8
ERA	5.13
K/9	9.6

Rays Player Insights

Yandy Diaz has accumulated 19 doubles, one triple, 18 home runs, and 36 walks while maintaining a batting average of .282. He ranks 38th in home runs and 29th in RBI across all Major League Baseball hitters. Additionally, Junior Caminero leads the team with 27 home runs and 70 RBIs, placing him sixth among all hitters in the majors in home runs and 14th in RBIs.

Jonathan Aranda is batting . alcaraz315, and Chandler Simpson holds an average of .300 with eight doubles, one triple, and 13 walks.

Rays Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Junior Caminero	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+140)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-205)	1. leren bautista education5 (+140)	–	0.5 (+195)
Jonathan Aranda	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+115)	–	0.5 (+145)
Jake Mangum	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+155)	–	0.5 (+245)
Yandy Diaz	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+155)

What are your thoughts on the upcoming game between the Yankees and the Rays?